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By Coach Collins, on October 31st, 2008% By Kevin “Coach” Collins
On Oct 30, 2004 the presidential race between incumbent George Bush and challenger Senator John Kerry was neck and neck with Kerry in a slightly better position. That morning brought news that Osama Bib laden had released a threatening message to the American people.
He warned us we were still in jeopardy and he intended to strike again. He blamed President Bush and America for the Sept 11th attacks.
Campaigning in Ohio, President Bush responded by saying “Americans will not be intimidated … by an enemy… we are at war with…”
Campaigning in Florida John Kerry responded by saying “…[Americans will]… hunt down and destroy Osama bin Laden and the terrorists.” He made no mention of being at war. He sounded like a police chief vowing to catch a bank robber. It reminded America that the terrorist were rooting for John Kerry because they believed a President Kerry would make their job … Continue Reading:The new threat from al Qaeda :Déjà vu all over again
By Coach Collins, on October 30th, 2008% By Kevin “Coach” Collins
Yesterday’s IBD/TIPPs poll reported an overall 9.2% “undecided.” This is a very high number at this point in any election cycle and should be worrisome for Barack Obama.
But far worse is the reported 13% undecided in the very blue Northeast. If this number is right that’s Halloween scary and could spell defeat for Obama. If he can’t shake his “Undecided problem” in the deeply blue Northeast where Obama should have things wrapped up, he is in trouble. The Northeast is supposed to be Obamaland.
IBD/TIPPs shows John McCain up 53/40 with just 7% undecided in the red Republican South where saying you are voting McCain presents no problem.
A 13% undecided in the Northeast begs pollsters to ask new questions.
Instead of just asking voters whom they will be voting for, more pointedly, pollsters should be asking these questions.
“Regardless of how you feel personally and regardless of how you intend to vote, how … Continue Reading:Blue State 13% “undecided” could derail Barack Obama
By Coach Collins, on October 29th, 2008% By Kevin “Coach” Collins
This election is a referendum on preserving America as we know it. We will decide to either save the America we grew up in or plunge our nation into the gray faceless socialism Barack Obama is promising us.
Rarely do we get such a clear cut choice. On one hand we have a candidate telling us he will surrender in our war on terrorism, teardown our economy and destroy our hard won freedoms. On the other we have a candidate that offers hope that we can save what we have and rebuild the firewall of sane government that has made us the greatest most prosperous, most benevolent nation in history.
Today we awoke to news that America may be starting to see the danger Barack Obama poses in every facet of his plans. We are closing the gap faster than the “experts” thought we could.
But we have to fight and fight hard to save … Continue Reading:Broken glass conservatives have to stand up for America
By Coach Collins, on October 28th, 2008% By Kevin “Coach” Collins
The media has tried to ordain him “Barack Obama, the incumbent president”, but the evidence suggests many Americans see him as “Barack Obama the unknown.”
If history repeats itself, this could present serious problems for his efforts to close out this election.
These are tumultuous times filled with unknowns. People want stability. Voters want to support a “known” with the flaws they recognize over the total unknown Obama as the media has crafted him.
Regardless of what the media wants us to believe, there is no incumbent in this race. Obama’s artificial “incumbency” can’t shake the high number of undecided voters still showing up in polling data. This runs counter to Obama’s campaign plans.
A look at the late October 2004 polls might seem to say President Bush attracted undecided voters because of his incumbency. A closer look, however, suggests the undecided voters moved to Bush when they compared the “known George Bush” to the … Continue Reading:Can “Barack Obama the unknown” close the deal?
By Coach Collins, on October 27th, 2008% By Kevin “Coach” Collins
In 1982 Tom Bradley, a competent Black man, was on his way to becoming California’s first Black Governor then he lost. He was a mainstream Democrat that didn’t scare anyone with his plans, but his race beat him.
Today Barack Obama a Black man is running for president. He has small but definite leads in most polls, but that might be where he and Bradley are different.
Looking back, Bradley’s race appears to have defeated him. By contrast Obama’s plans scare lots of people.
The media likes to cite a 3% Bradley factor they’ve picked out of the air.
They rely on people not realizing that the race will be a zero sum game. “What comes to me must come from you” explains the situation. Remember the 3% folds over on itself, so if A and B are tied at 50 but 3% of A’s voters are lying and really going to vote for B, … Continue Reading:Are Democrats whistling past the Bradley effect graveyard?
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