Hiding the truth: Obama is doing much worse than reported in his 12 must have states

By Kevin “Coach” Collins

The results of a USAToday/Gallup survey of thousands of registered voters in Barack Obama’s twelve MUST have states presents some very bad news for him and his Party. Unfortunately, true to form for the Democrat cheerleading media the worst of the news was buried. Initial on line versions left it out and the truth was only available in the newsstand version of the article.   

Not surprisingly Republicans are more engaged in watching the ongoing political flow of issues, but the spread between Republicans and Democrats who are paying attention and to the issues of next year’s election Democrats is a stunning 20 points at 68/48.

Experience tells us the more engaged voters are in the process, the worse it is for Democrats and the better it is for America.  As new Party registration data underscores, voters are turning away from the Democrats in these swing states.  Since 2008 those identifying as Democrats has shrunk by 4 points and those declaring themselves  Republicans has risen 5 points. Even if everything else was equal this factor alone could spell doom or Obama.

Nevertheless, the really bad news is the level of enthusiasm being expressed by various voting groups towards next year’s election. This “Enthusiasm index” which has a very reliable track record, is toxic for Obama. Each year since 2006, including this past November’s handful of local elections, the enthusiasm index has pointed to the eventual electoral outcomes.      

Among 18 to 34 year olds just 32% are enthused about voting (50% voted in 2008 – 2/3 for Obama) but the worst news was among “non- Whites” (read Blacks) which was at only 31%!  

 Black enthusiasm is LESS THAN HALF – 34 points under what it was in 2008 when 65% turned out to vote 97% for Obama.

Republican seniors who are the most conservative voting block (and double in size of the liberal voting block) are the most enthusiastic, but the lack of enthusiasm among these two groups presents a very difficult if not impossible obstacle for Obama to overcome. In the case of Blacks, Barack Obama can go into high gear and promise them the moon, but improving their enthusiasm to vote by 34 points? That’s not happening. Turning that gap around in ten months will not be possible.   

Use this site to contact your Congressional Representative: https://writerep.house.gov/writerep/welcome.shtml

To read more use these links:

   http://m.cltampa.com/dailyloaf/archives/2011/12/13/new-gallup-poll-shows-dems-downbeat-going-into-2012

    http://www.civicyouth.org/quick-facts/youth-voting/#15

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/21/us/politics/21vote.html

 Have you answered this week’s CiR.com poll?

In this world you may have knowledge or you may have repose, but you may not have both. 

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