How many times can an “expert” be wrong and still be an “expert”?
By Kevin “Coach” Collins
In 1954 a genius with a sharp eye for talent advised a young Elvis Presley, “You ain’t goin’ nowhere, son. You ought to go back to drivin’ a truck.”
Everyday we are bombarded with news of shocked “experts” having to once again admit they were wrong. In most cases this hapless bunch of Charlie Browns isn’t any more expert than the fool talking to Presley. So we don’t lose sight of their embarrassing claptrap here are a few “expert” predictions we have been insulted with recently.
In spite of “expert” sentiment to the contrary, America’s manufacturing sector has slowed “more than expected” and in fact has fallen to September 2009 levels. The geniuses at the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) didn’t just miss this one their expectation was barely in the same area code! The ISM expected its growth index would fall 2.7 not the actual 6.9 points it tumbled.
The 38,000 new private sector jobs added in May provide another example of surprised “experts” having to stammer out an explanation of how they could be so wrong.
In May private sector companies in the U.S. added fewer workers than forecast by the “experts” at ADP Employer Services. Mercifully the press release didn’t include the boilerplate line about “slowing the recovery.” Slowing the recovery? The “recovery” these “experts” are talking about can only be heard by dogs and liberals. The rest of us can’t hear or see this “recovery” the “experts” assure us it is ongoing.
Reuters uses the word “economists” to describe the “experts” it quotes. This week Reuters quoted “economists” who once again incorrectly forecast a decline in the number of new unemployment claims. It also reported the Department of Labor overestimated the rate of GDP growth in the first quarter. Experts?!
The fools at NOAA
Pointing to the fact that NOAA’s predictions of the number of named Atlantic hurricanes had been wrong three of the four years between 2006 and 2009, last year a National Center for Public Policy Research spokesman said, “We think our chimp can do better. He hasn’t been wrong so far. Of course, this is his very first hurricane season forecast.”
The chimp “predicted” six such hurricanes and NOAA said we should expect nineteen. Nevertheless, NOAA made its prediction using its best bureaucratic slippery language saying there was an 85% chance of more than 15 named Atlantic hurricanes. There were actually 19 such storms.
Based on the “closeness” of the chimp’s prediction and its definitive nature, if the chimp is a registered Democrat the media would quite comfortably declare him an expert as well.
To learn more about the predictions “experts” make to control our lives use these links:
To contact your Congressional Representative use this link: http://www.contactingthecongress.org/
To read more about these “expert” predictions use these links:
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In this world you may have knowledge or you may have repose, but you may not have both. What have you done today to deserve to live in America?
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