By Kevin “Coach” Collins
According to a Pew poll released earlier this month even before Barack Obama went public with his all-out war on the Catholic Church White non-Hispanic Catholics started moving away from the Democrats and toward a Republican self-identification.
The quietly released survey, which contains lots of bad news for Democrats, was completed last December by the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life.
What Pew found was as follows.
The Democrat identification all Catholics (practicing and non- practicing) had in 2008 is gone. Democrat identification has slipped from 53/37 to 48/43 – again this was BEFORE Obama’s declaration of war.
While this general trend should be enough to cause alarm for Democrats, digging a bit deeper brings worse news. Among White non-Hispanic Catholics – who make up a much larger portion of those who will actually vote- the numbers have reversed to a 49/42 Republican advantage. Moreover Democrats are now even upside down among non-practicing Catholics falling to a 47/45 GOP advantage.
It’s not just Catholics who have moved from the Democrats and toward the Republicans.
Pew tells us Democrats have lost and Republicans have gained ground with all religious groups. Among Jewish voters there has been a 9 point shift and among Mormons there has been a 12 point move toward the GOP.
The significance of the Catholic vote for a Democrat presidential candidate cannot be overestimated. Republicans can lose the Catholic vote and still win, but Democrats cannot. Dwight Eisenhower and Ronald Reagan each won two elections without carrying the Catholic vote either time. Reagan had a record victory margin over Walter Mondale despite losing Catholics 47/50.
Richard Nixon crushed George McGovern in 1972 but lost Catholics 37/63. Al Gore won the Catholic vote in 2000 and still lost.
Clearly Democrats cannot win without the Catholic vote, but when Republicans win all the time without it. Right now that vote is moving away from Democrats and toward Republicans and there is no reason to think it turn around before November.
The danger zone with Jewish voters is 67% or less.
Since 1920 whenever a Democrat has gotten less than 68% of the Jewish vote he has lost. Pew’s survey shows Obama’s support among Jewish voters is at 65% – down from the 78 he got in 2008.
To contact your Congressional Representative use this link: http://www.contactingthecongress.org/
To read more use these links:
http://ewtnnews.com/catholic-news/US.php?id=4955
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- Barack Obama’s Jewish problem
- Catholic Bishops finally step up against abortion Democrats
- New Democracy Corps survey tells Obama “Obviously, the dogs don’t like the food.”
This is interesting and all, but I would recommend David Brooks' column from this morning though I am somewhat confident you will denigrate both him and what he says which, curiously, may serve to reenforce his thesis.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/28/opinion/brooks-…
FLVoter….you're wrong once again ….I would denigrate him, what he says, as well as YOU for having the poor taste to drag this slime into a conservative website..knowing full well, prior to the act, that it has no place among independent thinkers….only among parrots of Obama and Marxist activists would such an article have any relevance.
Not only do we hate the dog-food….we're positioning ourselves to bite ANY hand which attempts to feed us that crap.
I see. Fascinating.
FlVoter…No, You DON'T see ! What's so fascinating is how you can turn a blind eye to your beloved Obama's remaking himself over into someone he was not in order to win the 2008 election…and now trying desperately to do damage control to his poor image (read 'spin"), to appear in an equally contrived, newer, gentler, light so he can once again 'con' the ignorant into believing he has redeemed himself.
According to your link's third paragraph , " …. this behavior is not entirely honorable. It's not honorable to adjust your true nature in order to win reelection. It 's not honorable to kowtow to the extremes so you can preserve your political career"
Your link source was attempting to "dump" on Republicans, but HE, like you, just opened the door wide enough for all of us to see the hypocrisy of your position.
Look, you jerk, you're the one who suggested I visit your link above…I'm only using your own props to point out how disingenuous you are (and THAT is being Polite).
Kick thine OWN die-hard derriere for being so smug.
Your own source David Brooks in his second paragraph