Obama has to draw an “inside straight” to win but the cards just aren’t there

By Emma Karlin, staff writer

 The unskewed polls show Mitt Romney leading by 7.8 points and for good reason.

Barack Obama is not winning any group he lost in 2008; not doing better with any group he won and not closing the gap with any group he lost.  

Looking at his campaign, Barack Obama appears to need three cards for an inside straight to win reelection.

He has the two end “cards”, his Media Cheerleaders at one end and the power of incumbency at the other. Filling in the “cards” between them to gain a winning “hand” looks to be beyond Obama’s reach.    

Here are the “cards” he needs to fill in his inside straight.

 The female vote: he won this group by 13 points in 2008 and now the Battleground Poll (BP) tells us he is trailing with White Women who will make up at least 39% of the Female vote by 9 points. A nine point lead among the first 39% makes getting to a 50/50 tie a tough job and duplicating a final tally lead of 13 points almost impossible. He’s not pulling this card.

 The “Jewish” vote card was one that helped him in 2008. While only 2% of the vote, Jews who are a “canary in the coal mine” indicator gave him 78% of their vote. No Democrat has ever won the presidency while getting less than 68% of the Jewish vote. Obama is now at 59% with little chance of improving- not much chance of pulling this card.  

 The Hispanic vote card: In 2008 Obama got 67% of the Hispanic vote. BP reports Romney is getting 40% of the Hispanic vote; so this is another card he won’t pull.    

  The African American card: he got 95% of this group.  Silly 94/0 media “poll” aside there are no credible polls that showing Obama doing anything like that and for the first time ever Black ministers are telling their congregations not vote at all. He is not pulling this card.

  The young vote card: Obama got 66% of this vote in 2008, but the latest survey of Young voters shows Obama getting just 61% of this group so he’s not getting any help from this “card” either.    

 Follow Coach at twitter.com @KcoachcCoach

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To read more use these links:

1)  http://www.unskewedpolls.com/

2) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81584.html


4A) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81584.html

 4) http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/

5) http://www.huffingtonpost.com/irene-monroe/will-obamas-support-of-marriage-equality-keep-some-blacks-home-on-election-day_b_1895246.html

6) http://www.indystar.com/article/20120921/NEWS0502/120921007/Poll-shows-support-Obama-among-young-voters

This day in history September 27

1529: Muslim hordes under Suleiman I attacked and sieged Vienna. Since the Muslims have come to realize they can get what they want by pressuring feckless cowardly politicians so they see no need to fight.  

To read about the Democrats 70 year love affair with Communists get you copy of Coach’s new book Crooks Thugs and bigots: the lost hidden and changed history of the Democratic Party available at: http://crooksthugsandbigots.com  

 In this world you may have knowledge or you may have repose, but you may not have both. 

What have you done today to deserve to live in America? If you want suggestions of what to do to fight for our freedom see the “What each of us can do to defeat Obama” page at the top of the CiR homepage. 

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