By Kevin “Coach” Collins
In early October various polls showed a steady stream of good news for Herman Cain.
A Gallup poll showed Cain swamping Perry in positive intensity of support. It had Cain at 30 (his highest level) and Perry at 15. Willard was not mentioned.
A straw poll of the National Federation of Republican Women showed: Cain 48%, Perry 14% and Willard 13%.
At an Illinois TEA party event Cain took 77% of the vote.
Public Policy Polling found these results in these states: North Carolina- Cain jumped from 8% to 27%, 10 points ahead of Willard. In Nebraska it was Cain 30 Willard 13 and in West Virginia Cain topped Willard 24/16. What is more significant is that Cain is pulling well with self identified “very conservative” likely voters – 35% in North Carolina 36% in Nebraska and 25% in West Virginia. This is very big because of the “Primary voter rule” which consistently shows that in Republican primaries those farthest to the right vote at a higher rate than others. Cain is impressing the “broken glass” conservative voters.
Willard’s support has stayed at about the same level since PPP started polling in January. Over the months that has been good enough to lead at times but not break out far ahead. He does not seem to be attracting new supporters.
Another poll, this one from “Tea Party Nation”, another group of likely conservative voters gave Cain 44% to Willard’s 2%, Newt was second with 22%.
As the month progressed the news continued to improve for Cain. By mid month he moved up to second place in two New Hampshire polls. Cain is still far behind Willard, but he is moving up while Willard is staying static or falling back.
In a mid month Midwestern Leadership Conference straw poll Cain got 52.6% and Willard got just 11.1%. At the same time a Zogby poll showed Cain ahead among Republicans planning to vote in the primaries by 20 points.
In a “Polling Position” survey in mid month Cain not only beat Obama 43/41 but got 24% of the African American vote. For Cain to get anything over 10% of this vote would mean a HUGE beating for all Democrats where Blacks are an important voting block.
Last week a Fox News poll on Cain’s 9-9-9 plan found 76% support it to various degrees (52% want it with some changes) while less than ten percent did not like it.
A week ago another PPP survey done in Ohio found Cain at 34% and Willard at 19%.
Yes, so far October has been a very good month for Herman Cain. The cross tabs show his support is growing because conservatives are saying “No!” to Willard and “Yes!” to Cain and his 9-9-9 plan.
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This day in history October 25:
1983: America liberates Grenada from Castro supported Communists.
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