By Kevin “Coach” Collins
According to the post conventions polls, Barack “the bump” Obama and Mitt Romney are now “tied.” The internals of one of the more comical polls, The CNN/ORC International poll of registered and likely voters released Tuesday claimed Obama was ahead by 52/46. The survey grossly over polled Democrats and shut Independents out almost totally speaking to just five dozen or so out of about 850 responding. A closer look reveals two very important pieces of information. Among the few Independent voters the survey did gather data from, Romney holds a significant 54/40 lead. This becomes still more important in light of Obama’s 52/44 edge in 2008 that was the underpinning of the 54% overall support he rode to victory. As Leftist loony as the CNN/ORC was its 16 point spread lines up perfectly with the 53/38 lead James Carville and Stan Greenberg’s Democracy Corps found two weeks ago. The most important measurement of voter sentiment is the enthusiasm they have for actually showing up at the polls to vote. The CNN/ORC poll found Republicans who are “very enthusiastic” to vote provide a 6 point (62/56) edge for Romney.
A Romney spokesman put this edge into perspective saying, “This Republican enthusiasm advantage has manifested itself in an unprecedented and historic grassroots effort that will have a significant impact on turnout in battleground states on Election Day”
Of course best news for Romney was whispered out last Sunday during the middle of the Labor Day weekend when Rasmussen reported that Republican voter registration is now at the highest level in recorded history – 37.6% and Democrat voter registration at 33.3% is now less than a point above its historic low. The importance of this 4.3 point registration gap can not be overstated.
For perspective it must be juxtaposed to the 1.3 point Republican edge going into the 2010 election when the GOP won 63 House races and re-took control of Congress. Given his 6 point enthusiasm gap and the generic 4.3 point spread in Party registration is it really worth paying attention to the polls that are showing Obama ahead or even close?
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This day in history September 14:
1961 Using data stolen for them by American Democrats and Communist spies the Soviets perform nuclear test at Novaya Zemlya To read about the Democrats 70 year love affair with Communists get you copy of Coach’s new book Crooks Thugs and bigots: the lost hidden and changed history of the Democratic Party available at: http://crooksthugsandbigots.com
In this world you may have knowledge or you may have repose, but you may not have both.
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