By Emma Karlin, staff writer
The unskewed polls show Mitt Romney leading by 7.8 points and for good reason.
Barack Obama is not winning any group he lost in 2008; not doing better with any group he won and not closing the gap with any group he lost.
Looking at his campaign, Barack Obama appears to need three cards for an inside straight to win reelection.
He has the two end “cards”, his Media Cheerleaders at one end and the power of incumbency at the other. Filling in the “cards” between them to gain a winning “hand” looks to be beyond Obama’s reach.
Here are the “cards” he needs to fill in his inside straight.
The female vote: he won this group by 13 points in 2008 and now the Battleground Poll (BP) tells us he is trailing with White Women who will make up at least 39% of … Continue Reading:Obama has to draw an “inside straight” to win but the cards just aren’t there
By Kevin “Coach” Collins
We’ve heard the pundits and “experts” who get paid for their “acceptable predictions” give us their ideas about the likely outcome of tomorrow’s elections.
Those of us who have followed this cycle know they are using poorly constructed and out of date turnout models. We have been frustrated by the lack of boldness from these people who view this process as not much more than guessing the number of jelly beans in a jar at the church picnic: The winner is the closest to the actual total without going over.
With the one bright exception of Dick Morris all of these people have opted for the “under” guess on the number of GOP pickups in the House and Senate. They would rather be wrong than seem to be “cheerleading” for the “dreaded TEA party.”
One man not afraid to predict robust gains in the Senate is Oklahoma Republican Senator Jim Inhof, who is flatly saying … Continue Reading:Jim Inhof’s list of GOP Senate winners