By Emma Karlin, staff writer
Â The unskewed polls show Mitt Romney leading by 7.8 points and for good reason.
Barack Obama is not winning any group he lost in 2008; not doing better with any group he won and not closing the gap with any group he lost. Â
Looking at his campaign, Barack Obama appears to need three cards for an inside straight to win reelection.
He has the two end â€ścardsâ€ť, his Media Cheerleaders at one end and the power of incumbency at the other. Filling in the â€ścardsâ€ť between them to gain a winning â€śhandâ€ť looks to be beyond Obamaâ€™s reach.Â Â Â
Here are the â€ścardsâ€ť he needs to fill in his inside straight.
Â The female vote: he won this group by 13 points in 2008 and now the Battleground Poll (BP) tells us he is trailing with White Women who will make up at least 39% of the Female vote by 9 points. A nine point lead among the first 39% makes getting to a 50/50 tie a tough job and duplicating a final tally lead of 13 points almost impossible. Heâ€™s not pulling this card.
Â The â€śJewishâ€ť vote card was one that helped him in 2008. While only 2% of the vote, Jews who are a â€ścanary in the coal mineâ€ť indicator gave him 78% of their vote. No Democrat has ever won the presidency while getting less than 68% of the Jewish vote. Obama is now at 59% with little chance of improving- not much chance of pulling this card. Â
Â Â The African American card: he got 95% of this group. Â Silly 94/0 media â€śpollâ€ť aside there are no credible polls that showing Obama doing anything like that and for the first time ever Black ministers are telling their congregations not vote at all. He is not pulling this card.
Â Â The young vote card: Obama got 66% of this vote in 2008, but the latest survey of Young voters shows Obama getting just 61% of this group so heâ€™s not getting any help from this â€ścardâ€ť either. Â Â Â
Â Follow Coach at twitter.com @KcoachcCoach
To reach your Congressional representative, use this link:
To read more use these links:
This day in history September 27
1529: Muslim hordes under Suleiman I attacked and sieged Vienna. Since the Muslims have come to realize they can get what they want by pressuring feckless cowardly politicians so they see no need to fight. Â
To read about the Democrats 70 year love affair with Communists get you copy of Coachâ€™s new book Crooks Thugs and bigots: the lost hidden and changed history of the Democratic Party available at: http://crooksthugsandbigots.com Â
Â In this world you may have knowledge or you may have repose, but you may not have both.Â
What have you done today to deserve to live in America? If you want suggestions of what to do to fight for our freedom see the â€śWhat each of us can do to defeat Obamaâ€ť page at the top of the CiR homepage.Â
Comments on this or any other coachisright.com essay can be sent by following the posting instructions below.