Tag Archives: Russia

Downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 a story of claims and counterclaims

By Jim Emerson,  staff writer

Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 was shot down by a surface-to-air missile (SAM) over Grabovo, Ukraine and crashed near the Russian border killing all 298 souls on board. The national/political identity of the SAM battery that attacked the commercial airliner is unknown at the time of writing.  The finger pointing, accusations and conspiracy theories are currently noise disguising the truth. Even the so-called recording of pro-Russian separatists is of questionable origin. Russian military intelligence would be unbelievably—that is, implausibly–sloppy to permit discussion of a civilian shootdown over unencrypted communications. (1)

New York Times reports that two witnesses near Grabovo claim to have seen the SAM launch in the area of Snizhne, a separatist city which has been heavily bombed by the Ukrainians for the last several days.  (3) Heavy overcast in the launch area made it unlikely that anyone could have seen the airliner being struck. It’s possible the Airliner just happened to fly into contested airspace unaware that it was on a route similar to those flown by Ukrainian warplanes. The theory that trigger happy separatists shot down the airliner believing it was a Ukrainian military aircraft would appear to be plausible.

Escalating Tensions
Moscow and Kiev have claimed the airliner was brought down by a SAM fired either by pro-Russian militants or Ukrainian Defense Forces. In the belief that separatist rebels were not sophisticated enough to deploy a SAM, Moscow has been charged with engineering the shootdown. It’s also possible that the operators of the SAM battery were defectors from the Ukrainian military and that their lack of radar tracking ability from a centralized long range air defense network from Ukraine or Russia would account for their mistaking a Malaysian Airlines flight MH17 for a Ukrainian An-24. The overcast on that day would have made visual identification difficult, perhaps impossible.

Russia has accused Ukraine of deploying long S-300 SAM batteries to counter the ability of Russian warplanes to provide air cover for the separatists. A Ukrainian official charged the jet was downed by a Buk (SA-11 or SA-17) surface-to-air missile system which is Russian-produced, medium-range SAM equipment (NATO designation SA-11 or SA-17). The Ukrainian S-300 system was also manufactured in Russia.

Until the area has been secured and investigated by a politically impartial team, we will continue to be inundated with speculation and theory.

Sources:
(1) http://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/07/17/malaysia-airlines-passenger-jet-shot-down-over-ukraine/
(2) http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/ukraine/10974050/Malaysia-Airlines-plane-crashes-on-Ukraine-Russia-border-live.html
(3) http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/19/world/europe/malaysia-airlines-plane-ukraine.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&version=Banner&module=span-ab-top-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=1

Putin continues military buildup as he ignores threats from America’s weakling leaders

by Jim Emerson,  staff writer

Buildup

Adopting the strategy of the Cold War the Obama administration has adopted the long-term approach of containment. The new strategy against Russia is basically the Alinsky strategy, isolate, ridicule, pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it. Not a good idea to attack someone who has a few nukes to toss around. (6)

To isolate, the Pentagon is sending troops to Poland for training exercises to reassure Eastern European allies that the United States will help to defend them from Russian aggression. A company sized contingent of 600 American troops will also be heading to Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia for training exercises. The US and NATO presence will form a perimeter in the hope of isolating Russia from Europe. 
In addition to ground forces Air Force fighters are being deployed in Poland. (1)

Analysts have indicated that the deployment will be a symbolic gesture that will have little or no impact on the Ukrainian crisis. The Pentagon insists that the troop deployment is in direct response to the buildup of Russian troops near the Ukraine boarder.

Belarus

Six Russian Su-27s Flankers and support aircraft have been deployed to Bobruisk airfield inside Belarus. Placing aircraft in Belarus serves to beef up Belarus airspace and relocate Russian aircraft within close proximity of the Ukrainian capital of Kiev. This will place Russian forces close to Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. Belarus is friendly to Russia and is concerned that NATO may be a potential threat to its sovereignty. President Aleksandr Lukashenko invited the Russians as a deterrence to NATO encroachment. (2) Belarus would make a great location for short range missile strikes since European missile defense was disapproved by Mr. Obama. Putin is warning the Ukrainian government against attacking civilians in eastern Ukraine. (5)

Deja Vu

Reporters were excited this week when Russian aircraft encroached on the airspace of several NATO countries. (3) Fighter Jets were launched to intercept and escort Russian TU-95 Bears. Despite the timing of events, these are routine missions flown to test various nations’ air defenses. However, unless the Russians have permission they rarely violate the countries airspace. The Russians use the turboprop bombers for the purpose of conducting airborne surveillance of NATO air defenses.(4) After the fall of the Soviet Empire, Russians still conduct surveillance flights off of the east coast of the United States and Alaska. It’s nothing new.

Our own State Department’s resident buffoon Jonh Kerry and the public housing Kenyan Muslim’s daily condemnation and threats against Putin are the remaining Alinsky tactics. Such threats serve no purpose to someone who has more support among his own people than Mr. Obama has in America. Obama’s history of hollow threats regarding Syria, Egypt and Iran has damaged his and America’s credibility on the world stage.

1.    http://rt.com/news/belarus-planes-nato-poland-594/
2.    http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Security-Watch/2014/0423/US-troops-arriving-in-Eastern-Europe.-Is-it-more-than-symbolic-video
3.    http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/apr/23/russian-bombers-buzz-uk-airspace-jets-scrambled-ch/
4.    http://news.sky.com/story/1247985/raf-jet-chases-russian-planes-away-from-uk
5.    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-24/obama-says-u-s-ready-to-move-on-russia-sanctions.html
6.    http://freebeacon.com/national-security/what-containment-really-is/

Show of Force or War Preparations?

by Jim Emerson,  staff writer

This week NATO released a series of satellite images showing a Russian military buildup near it’s border with Ukraine. The forward bases are Spartan and are mainly used to disperse or deploy assets for contingencies. Most likely this is a show of Force to counter NATO’s shifting of Forces as a display of good faith to support the current government of Ukraine.  

NATO leadership estimate at least 40,000 Russian troops have been deployed near the borders which could likely be within Ukraine in about an hour if ordered. The images show aircraft, armored vehicles, artillery, and forces deployed in positions that are not equipped for long term occupation. Usually such deployments are performed for training purposes but in the current situation they could be a show of force for the benefit of the pro-Russian population, a move to deter NATO, or to provide Air cover if the population should decide to have a civil war.    

Russia is telling the world that there is nothing unusual about the deployment, but the satellite images contradict the buildup along national boarders during time of internal turmoil.  Russian forces are already in Crimea and the well trained forces used to secure the Peninsula are much more professional and more integrated than NATO leadership have seen in the past. If war were to start, NATO would meeting a formidable force. (3)

If the current occupant of the White House knew anything of history, he would understand that the last time Europe and America faced such an army it wasn’t a pleasant trip for those who fought the war.

As for the United States, Obama foolishly promised: “We are not going to be getting into a military excursion in Ukraine. What we are going to do is mobilize all of our diplomatic resources to make sure that we’ve got a strong international correlation that sends a clear message.” The public housing Harvard Law School grad is either bluffing or willing to surrender Ukraine in the name of Social Justice. Most likely he and Valerie Jarret don’t care because the Muslim Brotherhood isn’t involved.

The wild card in this dangerous game is China. They might use a Ukrainian showdown to quietly grab a few islands. (2) 

1.    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/10/satellite-images-russian-military-ukraine-border
2.    http://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/04/10/could-china-launch-crimea-style-action-in-disputed-islands/
3.    http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2014/0403/Russia-debuts-new-sleek-force-in-Crimea-rattling-NATO

Cold War II

by Jim Emerson,  staff writer

President Vladimir Putin is taking maximum advantage of the weakest American President in history to rebuild the empire that was once known as the Soviet Union. The Left can bloviate all they wish but they cannot tap the heels of their Ruby Red Slippers and wish it wasn’t so. Barack Obama  has already lost Egypt to the Russians and pretty much surrendered the Ukraine to them as well. Given John Kerry’s moronic boast that the era of the Monroe Doctrine is over, Russia is planning to expand its military presence beyond current boarders especially in Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua. Russian forces in these counties, with no opposition from the current administration, represent a declaration of the second Cold War.

Cruise Missile threat
Armed with Russian built missiles, Iran is now a legitimate cruise-missile threat to America’s Gulf of Mexico states. Russia can launch cruise-missiles from land, sea or air from Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua with little or no warning. Military Planners are working to defend the United States against cruise-missile attacks launched from the Gulf of Mexico! (1)

A 2013 joint service exercise deployed Patriot Missiles, Aegis warships and fighters against a simulated missile attack from the Gulf. Lessons learned from the exercise exposed United States’ vulnerability to attack from the  region. The exact details of the drill  and what we learned from it are classified.

Gen. Charles Jacoby of the U.S. Northern Command told a Senate Armed Service Committee hearing that the U.S. has “some significant challenges” in countering these missiles, but is currently exploring “some opportunities to use existing systems more effectively.” If Russia manages to base strategic assets in the Gulf region America will have a new Cuban Missile Crisis. Needless to say, Obama is no John Kennedy.

Russia has been working to improve its cruise-missile program for years. Vladimir Putin can easily attack Alaska and the Eastern United States with little or no notice. Putin has a military strategy while the only thing that piques Barack Obama’s interest is the filling out of brackets for the NCAA’s March Madness. Even the sycophants in the press can’t change that fact.   

Source:

1. http://www.nationaljournal.com/global-security-newswire/could-the-u-s-face-a-cruise-missile-threat-from-the-gulf-of-mexico-20140321

Barack and Vladimir face off over the Ukraine

by Jim Emerson,  staff writer

Ukraine
The true extent of Barack Hussein Obama’s stupidity and bluster is on full display as he and Vladimir Putin face off over the Ukraine. For Russia is there and Obama is not. And the community organizer’s talk is cheap to a man of action. This Administration is failing to dissuade the Russian incursion to the Crimean region because they are Ivy League educated and therefore ignorant of the history and the relationship between Russia and Ukraine. (1)(2)

Russia and the Ukraine have been linked for centuries. Their histories and culture are tightly intertwined, beginning in the late 9th to the mid-13th centuries as a loose collection of clans known as Kievan Rus’. Kiev was the birth place of the Russian Orthodox Church as founded by the Apostle Andrew. So many battles were fought on Ukrainian soil to preserve Russian freedom that the Russian people would have a difficult time seeing the Ukraine as a separate nation. (1) In fact, the idea of the Ukraine joining the E.U. and NATO would greatly concern the Bear given the history of the Ukraine acting as a buffer against Russia being attacked by her enemies in the West.

In a nutshell, Ukraine is two countries rolled into one separated by language, culture and religion. The western Ukraine consists mostly of Catholics speaking Ukrainian while residents of the East are mostly Russian Orthodox speaking Russian. During the Ukraine’s 23 years of independence, neither side would compromise but only attempt to dominate each other. It was only a matter of time that riots and revolts would take place. Yugoslavia provides a perfect example of what happens when various factions try to dominate each other.

Perhaps the best solution to conditions in the Ukraine involves a peaceful split into two separate and distinct nations. The split of Czechoslovakia into the Czech Republic and Slovakia might serve as a model. Today those countries coexist peacefully, continuing to trade with each other while allowing free travel across their borders. Each is an independent nation, freely aligning itself with other countries. If, as Henry A. Kissinger points out, the Ukraine is to survive intact it must remain independent both from Russia and the West. However, based on history, neither Russia nor the West are likely to permit the Ukraine to exist in peace.

Sources:

1. http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/henry-kissinger-to-settle-the-ukraine-crisis-start-at-the-end/2014/03/05/46dad868-a496-11e3-8466-d34c451760b9_story.html

2. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/ukraine/10670506/Ukraine-analysis-Obama-has-few-options-but-bluster-will-not-help-him.html